In
the days following the assassination of Ahmad Jaabari, the fighting between
Hamas and Israel raised an
interesting question: why does Hezbollah stand aside and does nothing to
support its brothers in Gaza ?
On Wednesday, November 14, 2012, Israel
assassinated Ahmed Jaabari, the head of Hamas’s military wing, as a response to
the increasingly massive rocket attacks from the Gaza Strip in the last few
months. Shortly after the assassination, Hamas and the Palestinian Islamic
Jihad (PIJ) retaliated by intensifying the rocket attacks and extending the range
of fire to include Tel Aviv – more than 75 kilometers (46 miles ) from Gaza. The
two sides are still at war, sirens are currently heard in many Israeli cities
and unfortunately, and there seems to be no end to the current conflict.
A day after the assassination Hezbollah
condemned the “barbaric Zionist Aggression on Gaza ” and called it “a desperate attempt to
break the will of the resistance.” The organization also urged the Arab League
to carry their responsibilities and stop the 'genocide' imposed on Gaza through 'Israel 's' siege, shelling, killing
and destruction.” Hezbollah’s official websites in Arabic and English (http://www.moqawama.org/) and
its television station, Al-Manar, provide information on the fighting almost on
a daily basis. It has been confirmed that Hezbollah transferred a large amount
of long-range rockets to Hamas after Israel destroyed most of Hamas’s
reserves over the last few days. However, what is more important is what
Hezbollah did not do.
Hezbollah did not send fighters to Gaza to assist Hamas in fighting against Israel . The
organization indeed declared its support for Hamas, as expected, but called on the
Arab world to take action rather than taking action by itself. Hezbollah’s most
effective assistance to Hamas would be to fire rockets across Israel’s northern
border - diverting Israel’s attention from the southern to the northern border,
dividing its military force, and weakening Hezbollah and Hamas’s shared enemy.
Hezbollah did none. Why?
Since the assassination of Brig. Gen. Wissam
al-Hassan mid-October, Hezbollah is fighting for political survival in Lebanon . Its
political enemies from the March 14 coalition claim that Hezbollah and its
representative, Prime Minister Najib Mikati, are responsible for the
assassination and should resign. A few weeks after the assassination, Prime
Minister Mikati is still in office and President Michel Suleiman is trying to
convince all parties to agree to national dialogue in order to establish a unity
government with the opposition.
Moreover, Hassan Nasrallah, as he has proved
in the past, prefers to be the initiator of his own wars rather than a second
front in another conflict. The time isn't right for Hezbollah to open a front
with Israel ,
and Hezbollah must preserve its arsenal for the right time, even though
solidarity with Hamas is important.
In addition, the Lebanese Army (LAF), which has
taken more responsibility after the assassination, and U.N. peacekeeping force
UNIFIL, have been patrolling the areas near the border with Israel to maintain
security and prevent Hezbollah or radical Palestinian groups from exploiting
the Gaza fighting to fire rockets into northern Israel to trigger Israeli
retaliation.
In the end, Hamas, PIJ and other cooperating
terrorist organizations in the Gaza
strip stand alone. The Arab world, including Hezbollah ,
Egypt and the Palestinian
Authority, condemn the Israeli retaliations and support Gaza morally, but doing nothing more at this
point, each country and entity for its own reasons. They don't want a part in
the war with Israel
– it's Hamas's war – not theirs.
I think you have raised an interesting point why Hezbollah does not open fire at its frontiers to reduce the intensity and divert the attention of Israel? I think the historical rivalry between Hamas and Hezbollah to get power in Palestine is not a secret. At this juncture they could have kept aside those difference. But the technological dominance of Israel arsnal on the one hand, the usuall international pressure which will lead Israel to stop the attack at certain point of time in future, and enduring political rivalry between Hamas and Hezbollah could be the factors that shape such stand by Hezbollah.
ReplyDeletewe need to wait and watch to derive such a inference but you would be better judge to do so.