When
Egyptian President Mohammed Morsi was invited to the Non-Aligned Summit in
Tehran last week, the Iranians were probably dreaming that it would be the a
beginning of beautiful friendship. Since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, no
Egyptian leader has visited Iran .
They hoped that since President Morsi was the Muslim Brotherhood’s candidate
for the presidency, the relationships between the two states would change for
the better. And the Iranians were heartened when President Morsi accepted their
invitation.
However, President Morsi disappointed the
Iranians by again proving himself to be a man who politically fearless. Previously
President Morsi has shown his assertiveness when he dismissed Defense Minister
Mohammed Tantawi and SCAF (Supreme Council of the Armed Forces) seniors following
the terrorist attack in Sinai a few weeks ago. Similarly, he demanded his constitutional
rights back with no early warning, when all others thought he gave in to the
rule of SCAF. Building on these past actions, his speech in the opening meeting
of the Summit was
not the warm declaration of solidarity that his hosts had hoped for.
After his speech, president Morsi met with Iranian
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Tehran
was the first to publish a statement after the meeting, congratulating the “new
strategic partnership.” Egyptian officials dismissed the Iranian statement and
said that President Morsi discussed only Syrian and Palestinian issues in his
meeting with President Ahmadinejad. They asserted that no negotiation regarding
a “new strategic partnership” occurred during the meeting.
Though taken aback by President Morsi’s
actions, Iran needs an ally
in these rough times, and Egypt
is a good candidate. The Iranian attempt to use the invitation to the Summit as a test for
potential allies turned out to be a tremendous failure. The regime cannot acknowledge
this failure and tried to paint a rosy picture in their announcement of a
strategic partnership. Nonetheless, Iran will not give up on an
alliance with Islamic Egypt. The civil war in Syria
is just one issue, and Iran ’s
plans to be the regional leader are ambitious enough that they will not risk it
all on Syria .
Islamist Morsi, though Sunni and not Shiite, who is the leader of the largest
Arab nation in the region, could be a great ally and Iran cannot afford to lose him.
President Morsi only attended the opening
meeting but will be remembered as the man of the Summit . He came to Iran
as the leader of Egypt
and left as the hope of the region. In central Tehran
he called for fierce action against Iran ’s closest ally, the Syrian
regime, and for support for the Syrian people’s struggle for their freedom.
President Morsi doesn’t need Iran as an ally and would do well by his people
and country by avoiding a partnership with declining Iran . President Morsi was elected
by the people of the revolution, the same people who watch him now trying to
convince the Arab nations to stop the bloodbath in Syria . His joining with Iran would send
the wrong message to his people.
President Morsi can flourish and prove
himself as a man of deeds for the people of Egypt . Concentrating on Egypt ’s economy
and internal affairs would be a better use of his time than wading into foreign
affairs with Iranian intrigues. With a strong Egypt behind him he might be the
leader of the region in the coming years, and determine his own path. Whether
it will be good or bad for the Middle East – we
have to wait and see.
As religion takes unprecedented central stage in crafting political decisions in the Middle East, I foresee a power struggle between the Iranian and the Egyptian leaders (Shiite and Sunnis); each trying to assert himself - and his country - as a regional leader, rather than a strategic ally.
ReplyDeleteIt is definitely an option, I agree, though I always believed Iran would face Saudi Arabia in this struggle. Interesting thought, thank you for pointing that out.
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