It has been a difficult week for Egyptians, concluded by
Mohammed Morsi being officially declared as their next President. However, the
identity of the president and his future plans for the country seem to be
irrelevant after the events of the past week.
For the first time in the country's history, Egyptians experienced
true democratic elections. Indeed, one must admit, the last two candidates for
the presidency were not what the revolutionaries had dreamed of, but this is
Democracy and the country gets what the majority votes for. If the citizens don't
like the result, it can be changed in the next elections.
To Western eyes, voting for Mohammed Morsi is tantamount to
choosing Islam, but this is not necessarily true. Egyptians suffered for
decades under the dictatorship of Hosni Mubarak – they are poor, unemployed and
tired. The Muslim Brotherhood movement symbolizes the opposite of that
mentality– they are socially active, they are ‘pure’ from corruption and they
are considered to be non-violent and moderate.
The chaos started two days before the elections (June 14th).
The Egyptian Constitutional Supreme Court ordered the dissolution of the lower
House of Parliament due to the illegality of its elections six months ago, as
the Muslim Brotherhood candidates were elected for seats saved for Independent
candidates.
A few days later the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces
(SCAF), which ruled the country after the fall of Mubarak, revealed that it will
not hand over full authorities to the next president. President Morsi,
therefore, will not be the supreme commander of the armed forces nor the police
force. He will not have the authority to control the country’s budget nor to
confirm appointment of the Constitutional Court’s new Head Judge. Furthermore, SCAF
granted itself the right to dissolve and form another assembly if the parliament-appointed
assembly fails to draft a constitution within six months of its formation.
Therefore, President Morsi might change the face of the
cabinet, but has little other significance because all meaningful power remains
in the hands of SCAF. Moreover, after the Supreme Court dissolved the
parliament, Morsi lost his expected political advantage and must start from
scratch. With no supportive parliament on his side, a hostile SCAF tying his
hands and an angry movement at his back, he begins the first post-Mubarak
presidency with high hopes and no tools to fulfill them.
For now, Egypt is celebrating its freedom of speech and
democracy. The country is in transition and SCAF’s declaration, though it
disturbingly bring to mind the dark days of Mubarak, is understandable due to
the current situation in Egypt.
SCAF, one should not forget, been considered
the stabilizing factor in the country following the fall of Mubarak. Unlike
other countries that were drawn into civil war after the fall of their
dictator, SCAF safeguarded the country from deterioration until the implementation
of the democratic elections. Indeed, as SCAF predicted that the choice between
these two candidates would lead to enormous popular dissatisfaction; it must
have felt the need to act. Is this action temporary or permanent? No one knows.
Not even SCAF.
Sources:
Egyptian press
I think Ofer offered me as a debate parter or something. I have to say, I agree with this posting, and was hanging with an Egyptian last night, who voted for Morsi as the lesser of two evils. As for your other posts, I take some issue with some language/framing, but we seem to have common interests, and a good handle on the politics of the region.
ReplyDeleteThank you Mike :)
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